Weird Science.
Ever since the start of the Great Insanity, the UK government has said it is ‘following the science’. Following the science fiction, the Yellow Brick Road or even the stench (of its own murderous incompetence) maybe but most certainly not following the science.
The Collins English Dictionary definition of ‘science’ is this:
NOUN “the systematic study of the nature and behaviour of the material and physical universe, based on observation, experiment, and measurement, and the formulation of laws to describe these facts in general terms.”
The definition correctly includes reference to ‘laws’ and ‘facts’, in respect of science referring to constants. Those who paid attention at school in Science (which for some strange reason was called Science and not Speculation or Crazy Predicting) will be able to recall Faraday’s Constant, Newton’s Laws, the mass of an electron and the speed of light in a vacuum (or other home appliance).
Einstein’s Theory of Special Relativity is not E could equal mc2.
Even if Science escaped you at school, E=mc2 should ring a bell. Note that E equals mc squared, as in E is mc squared. Not E might be mc squared or generally is around or sort of pretty close to or – to use the logorrhoea of the Chief Manslaughter Officer and his ventriloquist dummy the Chief Scientologist Astrologer – could be.
No, it is. Is being fact. Fact being science. Science tells you that things will happen, not that they might. So when the atrocity exhibition wheels out some scary-looking charts that are predictions and the result of modelling, they are NOT science. Sciency, maybe. Science fiction, probably. But not scientific fact.
You will recall that Clown To The Stars Neil Ferguson came up with the ultra-unreliable and largely fantastical prediction (ooh, that word again) that ‘510,000 could die‘ which started off the systematic destruction of our society. No doubt the deathmongering axis of evil were looking for something equally risible this time around to justify their own personal brand of genocide.
Ask one wacko for his prediction and you get a wacky number. Again, not very science-led.
Charlie, three hundred fifty metres, fir trees, one finger to left of centre tree, concealed infantry, rapid, Fire!
Some of us here are ex-military and remember being taught how to judge distance in our battle drills’ training, as well as later teaching it to recruits. Here follows a simple but effective lesson in how to work out an unknown number by eliminating the ‘wacky’ outliers that are unlikely to be correct.
Imagine you are looking across a wide empty space to a clump of trees in the distance. You don’t know how far away they are but would like to find out pretty smartish because some slightly unpleasant men with automatic weapons are hiding around the trees and being rather rude by firing at you and trying to kill you. You need to tell your fire team the distance to the trees so that can set their sights to the correct range and put down effective fire. In no order of priority, here are the options you have:
Known Distance
A football pitch is approx. 100 metres long and I could fit 3, maybe 4 football pitches into the gap between me and those trees. So the range is 300-400 metres.
Averaging
Ask everyone in the section for their opinion and then work our the group average. If you get 200, 450, 275 and 500 as your answers then the group average range is 1,425/4= 356 metres.
Halving
I know that the local shop is around 200 metres down the road and the shop would be about half-way to the trees, so double it and the range is 400 metres.
Bracketing
A variation of averaging, you take the opinions of your fire team and discard the higher and lower figures. This rules out the extremes and in the above example would lead you to think ‘it’s less than 500 metres but more than 200 metres, so probably somewhere between 275-450 metres.’ If you then averaged those two central distances, you would get 725/2= 362 metres.
Granted, these are worked examples to prove a point but in all four methods, the predictions for the unknown distances are relatively similar: 300-400 metres / around 400 metres / 356 metres / 362 metres. Importantly you have a) taken into consideration a number of views and b) discounted the outliers (200 and 500 metres).
Consider More Than One View And Ideally Ones Based In Fact.
So why oh why would a government base a decision on a single prediction? A single prediction has no baseline, meaning it has no point of reference and lacks any credibility.
If you asked just two people and one said ‘no more than 50,000’ and the other said ‘510,000’, you would immediately question the credibility of both as they are so far apart. You certainly wouldn’t base any decision on either until you had obtained more outputs from more people to bring at least a minimum level of focus, relevance, credibility and accuracy to the party.
Except such basic diligence is beyond the deathmongers. A single bonkers prediction caused societal carnage first time around and so should be a red flag not to consider doing the same thing again. Ever. Except they have. Yet another sciency prediction is offered up as fact in order to justify the deathmongers’ obsession with killing tens of thousands of their own citizens and ruining the lives of millions more. All for a virus that is becoming more like common cold-causing fellow beta genus coronavirus OC43 every day, as its transmissability rises but its virulence reduces.
Rising ‘new’ cases are not all ‘new’ cases, as we have written about previously in August and in September. Also, referring to ‘rising COVID-19 cases’ when you mean ‘rising SARS-CoV-2’ cases (because you are referring to nucleic acid testing results) is a downright lie. But then lying now comes so easily to the deathmongers who, like Harold Shipman, now have a taste for it and believe – like all good psychopaths – that they are doing what has to be done; are the only ones who can be trusted to do it; are beyond accountability for their actions; are unable to tell right from wrong; are devoid of empathy and are convinced that those they kill deserve it.
Do not panic. Do not worry. Do not follow government advice.